Comments on: ELECTION PREVIEW

By: Truthiz

Truthiz — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 18:43:43 +0000

A poll I'm actually inclined to believe:WashPost: "Poll: Voters want super PACs to be illegal" Nearly seven in 10 registered voters would like super PACs to be illegal, including more than half who feel that way strongly, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.Sixty-nine percent of all Americans and voters alike say super PACs, a fundraising vehicle that allows wealthy donors to make unlimited donations in support of a particular candidate or party, should be banned. Just 25 percent said they should remain legal.Those numbers were even more startling among political independents, 78 percent (!) of whom say super PACs should be illegal. (Full question wording is at the end of this post). The widespread disgust directed toward super PACs from voters comes amid a Republican presidential primary election season in which these organizations have played an outsized role. […]Read: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/…

By: BD

BD — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 16:28:45 +0000

Your spot on in the break downs DJ. I still don't think today is gonna change much and nobody will drop out. Every body has a case why they need to stay in so they will for at least a few more weeks. Will be interesting to watch the results tonight tho.

By: BD

BD — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 16:27:29 +0000

By: Truthiz

Truthiz — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 16:21:25 +0000

My usual disclaimer: I neither like NOR trust polls...not even polls that favor my candidate or seemingly validates my assumptions. In this regard, Nate Silver's is the ONLY guy I pay any attention to at all.Nate Silver: "Polling in Deep South Has Posed Challenges"The polls suggest a tight race in Alabama and Mississippi, which will hold their primaries on Tuesday. Our polling-based forecasts show Newt Gingrich with a very small lead in Alabama and Mitt Romney with an equally small one in Mississippi. Rick Santorum seems to have fallen to third in both states, but remains in striking distance.I’ve been placing less emphasis on the polls than usual, however. The reason is that polls in these states have a pretty awful track record.If you had looked at the Real Clear Politics average of polls in Alabama in advance of the 2008 primaries, for instance, you would have called the Republican and the Democratic races wrong. Hillary Rodham Clinton had a nominal advantage in the Democratic race there, leading in the Real Clear Politics average by about one percentage point. But in fact, Barack Obama won. It wasn’t even close; he carried the state by 14 percentage points.A similar problem was evident on the Republican side. [....]Read: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/...After what I witnessed (I really paid close attention to) 4 yrs ago, I'd say polls period have a horrible track record. I've vented about it on more than one occassion right here at *OK WASSUP!*.And all I'm saying is tonight's results had better be close_REAL CLOSE_with Romney taking either 1st OR 2nd place as just about EVERY major poll has repeatedly indicated, as touted by THE MEDIA, over the past 5-6 days. I don't mind giving credit where credit is due. But pre-vote polling results had better hold up tonight.

By: Truthiz

Truthiz — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 14:13:53 +0000

Nice break-down of each candidate's situation DJ. As I expressed yesterday, I'm primarily interested in 2 things: Voter turnout for each state and polling projections vs actual results. I noticed that, depending on the state, the polls are indicating a 2-way tie OR a 3-way tie with Romney registering at either the top or 2nd spot. With Mississippi and Alabama being dominated by Southern, White evangelicals, it'll be interesting to see if Romney has finally won the support of that particular group. If he beats Santorum, and more importantly GINGRICH, in either of those two states then THAT will be significant. No question about it. A sidenote..... When you factor in the following: 1. Rising gas prices and the President's continued FAILURE to PROACTIVELY get out in front of this story to calm the growing anxiety of Americans worried about day-to-day financial stressors....AND...2. The uncertainty of Afghanistan and, even more dangerous, Netanyahu (backed by Israeli zionists AND American neoCONs) just itching to start a war with Iran.... IF soCONs really begin to unite around Mitt it will make the contest between him and the President a real fight. The President, IMO, is still most likely to be re-elected (Romney is a dreadful candidate and the GOP is mucked up in general) but the race will be closer because most Americans are easily spooked, extremely reactionary and very fickled.