Trump and the GOP have an electoral map problem.

Politics –
Electoral Map Doesn’t Favor GOP

For those who are fearful Donald Trump might actually become the next President of the United States, here’s some news to calm your nerves.  The electoral map simply doesn’t favor the GOP.

Politics
The selection of a president is not based on popular vote, but rather on the amount of electoral votes per state.  This would explain why larger states such as California and New York (which traditionally vote Democratic) are able to squash a dozen smaller states like Montana and Wyoming (which frequently vote Republican).  It’s all a mathematical equation and an electoral college contest.  Read on…

A recent Florida poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump. This is important because if Mrs. Clinton can win Florida and carry the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have traditionally voted Democratic in each of the last 6 presidential elections, she will become the 45th president. It’s just that simple.

Here’s the math:

To become president, a candidate needs 270 electoral votes. If Hillary can win the 19 states (and D.C.) that every Democratic nominee has won from 1992 to 2012, she will have 242 electoral votes. Add Florida’s 29 and that’s 271. Game over.

The Republican map is unforgiving. There are 13 states that have voted for the GOP presidential nominee in each of the last 6 elections.  However, those states only total 102 electorate votes. This means that presumptive nominee Donald Trump will need to find at least 168 more electoral votes to get to 270.  How can he do it?

His task becomes increasingly difficult due to the demographic problems the GOP has in winning any large group of non-white voters — or the “browning of America” effect.  For example, in 2004, George W. Bush won New Mexico, a state in which almost half the population is Latino.  However, 8 years later, Barack Obama won the state by 10 points over Mitt Romney.  That’s a huge differential.

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Politics
States with a growing population of African-Americans, Hispanics, Asians and other non-white groups are becoming increasingly more difficult for Republicans to win. Additionally, the presumptive 2016 Republican nominee has done almost everything possible to alienate such groups. Previously, Virginia and North Carolina have traditionally been Republican strongholds, yet they are moving toward Democrats as of late. (Mr. Obama won both states in 2008 and carried Virginia in 2012.)

While these important states are migrating toward Democrats, fewer states are migrating toward Republicans. Combine that with the unbelievable 70% unfavorable rating Donald Trump has with both Democrats and many Republicans alike and what are you left with? An electoral map in which the Democratic nominee already starts out with a significant advantage over the Republican nominee. This is horrible news for the GOP and is the exact opposite of the massive electoral college edge the party enjoyed during the 1980s.

Further, Donald Trump has done a bang up job in severely exasperating the problem by insulting and alienating Hispanics, Muslims, blacks and women, however the GOP electoral problem goes much deeper than Trump.  The Republican Party is fractured and can only survive by breaking into varying factions.  If they do not, they are doomed to repeat history in 2020 and likely beyond.

OK WASSUP! discusses politics.  Today’s article:
GOP has a huge electoral map problem.